Author Archives: jimsullivan92

Maria a Threat to the Northern Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the Bahamas

Maria forecast/discussion 2 (update to forecast 1): Tropical Storm Maria remains highly disorganized, with pulsing convection noted north of the low level circulation on IR Satellite loops and microwave images. Because of the center being displaced from the convection, Maria … Continue reading

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Nate a Threat to Tampico, MX

Tropical Storm Nate Forecast/discussion 1: Tropical storm Nate’s satellite appearance has only changed slightly since this morning, with the appearance of a sheared tropical cyclone evident with the center nearly exposed on the northeast edge of an area of deep … Continue reading

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Tropical Wave in the Caribbean…A Candidate for Gulf of Mexico Development?

A large monsoonal trough over the northern Caribbean is drifting towards the Gulf of Mexico. Global models are all suggesting future development, and the National Hurricane Center has flagged this area of disturbed weather with a 10% chance of developing … Continue reading

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TD 12…The Next Storm to Watch

Just a couple of thoughts on TD 12… Given the generally well agreed on large scale pattern shownon models in a week to 10 days, TD 12/Katia needs to gain as little latitude as possible before getting to 65-70W. The … Continue reading

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Hurricane Irene Forecast #2

As of mid-Monday afternoon—Irene is developing an inner core as it transverses the small gap between the Puerto Rico and northern Hispaniola coastlines. Irene is also exhibiting excellent outflow, especially on the northern half of the storm which is likely … Continue reading

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To all the Accu Forum posters

I no longer post on that site due to a disagreement with the administrator as to what is crossing a line and what is not in relation to a joke with the moderators. Unless you have an account on Americanwx.com, … Continue reading

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Tropical Storm Irene

Tropical Storm Irene Forecast/Discussion: As of late Saturday evening, newly formed tropical storm Irene is producing a fairly large but disorganized area of deep convection, with a small but potent surface circulation located under the southwestern edge of this convection. … Continue reading

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